
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
Blogs I Follow
 jtobin.io
 Hypergeometric
 Another Astrostatistics Blog
 Happiness, truth, everything
 A Fortunate Universe
 Quillette
 Publishable Stuff
 Anna Pancoast
 Thermodynamics For Everyone
 The EtzFiles
 Bayesian Philosophy
 Offsetting Behaviour
 The World According to Renee
 The Vegan Strategist
 Xi'an's Og
 It's chancy.
 Letters to Nature
 Plausibility Theory
 Skeptic Pete's Blog
 Truth, Beauty and a Picture of You
Archives
 April 2017
 March 2017
 February 2017
 December 2016
 September 2016
 August 2016
 July 2016
 April 2016
 November 2015
 October 2015
 September 2015
 August 2015
 July 2015
 June 2015
 May 2015
 March 2015
 January 2015
 December 2014
 October 2014
 September 2014
 August 2014
 February 2014
 December 2013
 October 2013
 September 2013
 August 2013
Categories
Meta
Category Archives: Inference
Introducing ‘Brews’, and two cool things from the internet
A few short items… I’ve made a little web page for sharing results of analyses I do (mostly these will be posterior samples and marginal likelihood values). I’ll aim to put things up when they’re sufficiently mature and ‘finished’, in the … Continue reading
Posted in Inference, Personal
Leave a comment
A Rosenbrock challenge for MCMC folks…
Note: After I posted this the first time, I started to distrust my own results. I am confident the properties of the problem are probably something like what my figures show, but perhaps different in a couple of details. I … Continue reading
Posted in Computing, Inference
Leave a comment
A frequentist does his maths homework
Question 1: Solve the quadratic equation . Answer: The two solutions are given by the quadratic formula where , , and . Therefore, after some simplification, the two solutions are and . I don’t like much how there is an ambiguity … Continue reading
Posted in Inference
Leave a comment
Gains from trade versus(?) subjective wellbeing
This year I’ve been learning basic economics. It’s a cool subject. One interesting concept is “gains from trade”. The idea is that a person probably only participates in a trade if they think they’d benefit from it. If two parties … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Entropy, Inference
3 Comments
A JAGSlike interface to DNest4
As you probably know, I use Diffusive Nested Sampling (the latest implementation of which is DNest4) to do almost all of my data analysis. It works on pretty much all problems I throw at it, as long as the likelihood function … Continue reading
Posted in Inference, Personal
Leave a comment
Methinks it is like a weasel
This is my first proper blog post for a while. Apologies for the gap. I have been busy with visits from three of my favourite colleagues (Kevin Knuth, Daniela Huppenkothen, and Dan ForemanMackey), followed by teaching an undergraduate course for which … Continue reading
Posted in Inference, Personal
3 Comments
The probability of a Mormon second coming
In a recent episode of his podcast, author Sam Harris reiterated an observation about probability theory. The broader context was to criticize the popular notion that all religions are the same. They aren’t — some specific propositions associated with religions … Continue reading
Posted in Inference
2 Comments